Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 5.142543 5.667116 6.226000 6.866456 7.580965 8.354544 9.256789
2025-12-14 4.145419 4.844323 5.638700 6.611308 7.773944 9.123937 10.817170
2025-12-21 3.523449 4.323214 5.282734 6.525263 8.101126 10.045541 12.645524
2025-12-28 3.158256 4.041964 5.153212 6.664868 8.685536 11.318580 15.050409
2026-01-04 2.864746 3.802925 5.032011 6.778048 9.223637 12.570291 17.570947
2026-01-11 2.596903 3.559190 4.865950 6.794840 9.611396 13.639171 19.953617
2026-01-18 2.351738 3.315248 4.665937 6.729010 9.856373 14.510615 22.134816
2026-01-25 2.137740 3.090745 4.465526 6.631524 10.029036 15.274271 24.223940
2026-02-01 1.952716 2.888941 4.275287 6.522583 10.160684 15.972333 26.274687
2026-02-08 1.791233 2.706605 4.095092 6.405984 10.258666 16.613099 28.291512
2026-02-15 1.666636 2.569360 3.970408 6.361800 10.463130 17.440408 30.722792
2026-02-22 1.589410 2.499448 3.944345 6.473472 10.935908 18.768433 34.221806
2026-03-01 1.482787 2.375749 3.824284 6.421028 11.128399 19.641985 37.029072
2026-03-08 1.368447 2.230492 3.656772 6.270698 11.129859 20.167364 39.233803
2026-03-15 1.285340 2.131135 3.558398 6.232679 11.331572 21.087588 42.362948
2026-03-22 1.241455 2.095389 3.566406 6.387523 11.912154 22.805616 47.417452
2026-03-29 1.195391 2.051935 3.556575 6.506806 12.434049 24.464729 52.594632
2026-04-05 1.138838 1.985275 3.499085 6.528538 12.760957 25.756765 57.136487
2026-04-12 1.075787 1.902109 3.404523 6.468381 12.911605 26.688635 60.972713
2026-04-19 1.013848 1.816610 3.299034 6.376461 12.984569 27.456464 64.525877
2026-04-26 0.955470 1.733809 3.192556 6.272842 13.020753 28.143746 67.981703
2026-05-03 0.900754 1.654363 3.086867 6.161521 13.028002 28.763628 71.359377
2026-05-10 0.857994 1.595224 3.016860 6.119371 13.185828 29.754802 75.885410